🌐 NEWS KALEIDOSCOPE 📅 23.09.2026 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📰 SUMMARY 🇺🇸🇷🇺 USA — Russia BALTNEWS reports an alleged invitation for Putin to attend the G20 summit in Miami. Marco Rubio says a Putin–Trump meeting is possible but stresses the need for preparation. In his view, temporary ceasefires will not resolve the conflict in Ukraine. 🇪🇪 Estonia After a strike involving about 15,000 education workers, Minister Kristina Kallas announced an increase in minimum teacher pay. It is currently €1,970; another €60 is planned by 2030. Unions consider this insufficient. 🌾 Ukrainian exports Reuters/BALTNEWS: Ukraine is considering redirecting part of its grain exports to Baltic ports because of attacks on ships in the Black Sea. Logistics would become significantly more expensive; the Agriculture Ministry is requesting $2 billion. 🛸 Drones Rybar reports on the spread of unmanned aircraft among cartels and other non-state groups. 🇱🇻🇪🇪 Baltics Local posts focus on the “Azov” issue in Riga, calls to vote on October 3 and possible protests, as well as a story about “Latvian” potatoes grown in Lithuania. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST The main themes are diplomatic signals between Russia and the US, Ukraine’s logistics problems, Baltic domestic politics, and the spread of drones among non-state actors. 🔮 Probabilities through the end of 2026: 🇷🇺 Putin attends the G20 in Miami — 15% 🤝 Putin–Trump meeting at the G20 — 8% ⚔️ No comprehensive and lasting ceasefire in Ukraine — 85% 🌾 Partial rerouting of Ukrainian grain exports to the Baltics — 30% 💰 Approximately $2bn aid package for this logistics — 20% 🛸 Significant increase in drone use by criminal/irregular groups — 75% 🏛️ Major political changes in Latvia/Estonia — 12% ✊ Continued social pressure and protests in the Baltics — 50% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 CONCLUSION 🔎 Diplomatic reports should be checked against official sources. 🌾 Alternative grain routes will depend on costs and funding. 🛸 Drone use by non-state groups may continue to expand. 🇱🇻🇪🇪 Social and political tensions in the Baltics are likely to persist. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ @KaleydoskopNovostey
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